i know ii -> matriculate underestimates a lot, i was just trying to rely on official numbers bc rather under than overestimate my chance. didn’t realize they had that nice graphic on their site, sorry to have scared people!!

can you link the graphic i cant find it

from MSAR. and checking for overall, its actually also 16%. 883 interview, 141 matriculate. obviously this is II -> matriculation so this will undersell true II -> A, but that’s the official data we have

where did you get 300-400 number? if that’s true then becomes 34% post-II… wait nvm i found the stony site that says it. ok so actually 47% in 24-25 cycle. i feel a lot better. a lot better

cycletrack is a lot more optimistic & in line with your number (40% post-II A rate) but cycletrack is also biased to top applicants/applicants willing to post their results (and therefore applicants happy with said results).

earliest date i saw was late late oct. anyone see any earlier?

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I am scheduled for end of September and got the II last week as well, must have filled up quickly.

I am scheduled for end of September and got the II last week as well, must have filled up quickly.

oh. teach me for thinking i could wait an hour 😭